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[ 洋図書 ] The map and the territory : risk, human nature, and the future of forecasting /

Alan Greenspan. -- Penguin Press, -- 2013. --

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ISBN [1594204810] (hardcover)
ISBN13桁 9781594204814 (hardcover)
テキストの言語 英語                  
分類：NDC10版 332.53
個人著者標目 Greenspan, Alan,
生没年等 1926-
本タイトル The map and the territory :
タイトル関連情報 risk, human nature, and the future of forecasting /
著者名 Alan Greenspan.
出版地・頒布地 New York :
出版者・頒布者名 Penguin Press,
出版年・頒布年 2013.
数量 388 p. :
他の形態的事項 ill. ;
大きさ 25 cm.
書誌注記 Includes bibliographical references and index.
内容注記 Animal spirits -- The crisis begins, intensifies, and abates -- The roots of crisis -- Stock prices and equity stimulus -- Finance and regulation -- Schooner intelligence and then some -- Uncertainty undermines investment -- Productivity : the ultimate measure of economic success -- Productivity and the age of entitlements -- Culture -- The onset of globalization, income inequality, and the rise of the gini and the crony -- Money and inflation -- Buffers -- The bottom line.
要約、抄録、注釈等 Explains how the financial crisis has challenged fundamental assumptions about leading economic models, drawing on twenty-first-century technologies and the expertise of behavioral economists to outline new forecasting practices.,Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful role in economic decision making in the world saw beforehand the storm for what it was. How had our models so utterly failed us? To answer this question, Alan Greenspan embarked on a rigorous and far-reaching multiyear examination of how Homo economicus predicts the economic future, and how it can predict it better. Economic risk is a fact of life in every realm, from home to business to government at all levels. Whether we're conscious of it or not, we make wagers on the future virtually every day, one way or another. Very often, however, we're steering by out-of-date maps, when we're not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control. The Map and the Territory is nothing less than an effort to update our forecasting conceptual grid. It integrates the history of economic prediction, the new work of behavioral economists, and the fruits of the author's own remarkable career to offer a thrillingly lucid and empirically based grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can't.The book explores how culture is and isn't destiny and probes what we can predict about the world's biggest looming challenges, from debt and the reform of the welfare state to natural disasters in an age of global warming. No map is the territory, but Greenspan's approach, grounded in his trademark rigor, wisdom, and unprecedented context, ensures that this particular map will assist in safe journeys down many different roads, traveled by individuals, businesses, and the state. - Publisher.
一般件名 Economic forecasting -- United States.
Financial crises -- United States.
地名件名 United States -- Economic policy.
United States.
資料情報1 『The map and the territory : risk, human nature, and the future of forecasting /』　Alan Greenspan.　Penguin Press,　2013. （所蔵館：中央　 請求記号：F/332.5/G81/M　 資料コード：7104362110）
URL https://catalog.library.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/winj/opac/switch-detail.do?lang=ja&bibid=1352011800

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